GOP’s report on the 2012 election

The GOP released it’s report about the 2012 election in this PDF.  Reince Priebus discusses how to get the GOP back in the political game

Marco Rubio speech at Jack Kemp dinner

Laboratories of Democracy: the rise of one-party control of state governments provide clear contrasts in what works

As usual, Michael Brown writes an interesting piece about America’s “laboratories of democracy.  One of the strengths of our Republic is the division of individual states with their respective sovereignty. Much like our economic system, built on underlying free-market and competition, these individual states are free to govern themselves and compete outside the direct control from Washington (well…for the most part). The results should be instructive.

First, we are starting to see the intraparty disputes, where factions within either political establishment are challenged. Second, we are seeing the overall product of either Democratic, or Republican rule.

For the national public, one-party Democratic and one-party Republican states provide a look at how each party governs — and the results.

In California, voters just gave Democrats two-thirds majorities in both houses and a tax increase, as well. We’ll see if their policies help California reduce its dismally high unemployment and resolve its enormous pension underfunding.

In Illinois, Democrats won again, despite increasing the state income tax from 3 to 5 percent in 2011, after which the state’s unemployment rate went up, while declining in neighboring states. Democrat Michael Madigan has been speaker of the Illinois House for 28 of the last 30 years.

Many Republican governors and legislatures have gone in another direction, holding down spending increases and seeking to cut taxes or hold rates even, rather than raise them.

Texas’ low taxes (no income tax) and light regulation have been followed by some of the most robust job creation in the nation. Texas’ population grew so rapidly in the last decade that it gained 4 U.S. House seats from the 2010 Census.

No-income-tax Florida gained two seats, and no other state gained more than one. California, for the first time in its history, gained none.

States are laboratories of democracy, Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis wrote. Citizens of every state can monitor their experiments and judge which set of one-party states is getting better results.

Bill O’Reilly echoed this sentiment on his show:

Republicans have an opening (potentially) in the American city

Ron Long from discusses in a short blog post that the GOP should reassertion itself with, and contend for, American cities. He may be onto something:

The best way to revive a sagging company is to look for new market opportunities and seize them. Which is why the Republican party needs to take on the cities. We’ve all enjoyed daydreaming about John Yoo, Mayor of Oakland — I wish he’d get the hint and really run for the office — but the larger point is: cities are where the people are; cities are where our people (Asian and Hispanic business types) are; cities are where liberalism has not only failed, but failed specularly and with tragic human cost.

It’s true that cities like Seattle, Los Angeles, New York, and Philadelphia will likely never vote majority Republican. However, this territory cannot be discarded or seeded to the democrats given the amount and diversity of the people that live there. In other words, if the GOP wants to reach out to Hispanics and African Americans, that is where much of that is going to have to take place.

Washington Post: What is “conservative” anyway?

Jennifer Rubin has an interesting blog post in her Right Turns column for the Washington Post.  She tackles this idea of what it really means to be conservative, including whether the movement has been too quick to label issues as “conservative” even though they may not be.

It is also helpful in making policy decisions, sourcing candidates and determining legislative agendas to be clear about what is essential to conservatism and what is not. Republicans can adopt positions that are less or more conservative (there is nothing wrong with a little political expediency now and then), but they should be careful not to appropriate the conservative moniker to justify whatever it is they want to do or not do.

Conservatives’ faith in free markets, reasonable taxes, modest regulations and free trade are positions grounded in fundamental beliefs about the size and role of government (limited, there to protect its citizens’ rights and afford them safety from hostile powers). As a tactical matter that may require compromise ( e.g. accept revenue-generating tax reform), but the goal of a pro-growth tax code that eschews government favoritism of one industry or company over another is based on free-market principles. If a purported conservative wants to toss that aside (or opposition to defense sequestration or any other principle position), don’t be surprised when others question if he has any fixed beliefs.

She seems to argue (effectively) that conservatism should be viewed on a spectrum rather than through a bright line division between “conservative” or “liberal.”  The more complicated positions held by many conservative candidates are obviously gay marriage and immigration.  With both of those issues, conservative candidates seem to lose (badly) the youth and Hispanic vote respectively.  Though she does not urge concession on those issues, Jennifer Rubin seeks to put them into context:

On the other hand, positions that many claim to be equally essential to conservatism simply are not. If marital infidelity and divorce aren’t part of any conservative national political agenda, gay marriage need not be. No tenant of modern conservatism obligates politicians to insist on undoing a social consensus on the expansion of marriage freely arrived at by voters.

Nor is there anything conservative about opposing immigration reform. Republicans may do so because they think it will benefit Democrats or because they are afraid their talk-show hosts will holler at them, but it is not a conservative position. Conservatives favor meritocracy, entrepreneurial energy and a flexible labor market. As students of history they know immigration is essential to keep replenishing American culture and society and to make good on the vision of the framers that America is based on democratic ideals, not ethnic or racial identity.

Republicans must be flexible in their approach to policies and responsive to their defeats.  Throughout history, the commonly-held stereotypes of the parties were that Democrats supported positions of caring and passion towards the less-fortunate, while Republicans were pragmatic, reasonable, and responsible.  (Many will argue those stereotypes, but they are, nonetheless, how many view the general distinctions of the parties.  After all, there’s a reason why the following quote generally seems to ring true: “Show me a young Conservative and I’ll show you someone with no heart. Show me an old Liberal and I’ll show you someone with no brains.”)

Which political party are you? Take the quiz

Political Party Quiz | Pew Research Center for the People and the Press.

I stumbled across this interesting little quiz on the Pew Research Center website. Take the quiz and see where you fall on the political spectrum.

Political Party Quiz | Pew Research Center for the People and the Press

Party affiliation – GOP gaining

Summary of Party Affiliation – Rasmussen Reports™.


Sep 36.8% 34.2% 29.0% 2.6% 2.6%
Aug 37.6% 33.3% 29.2% 4.3%
Jul 34.9% 34.0% 31.1% 0.9%
Jun 35.4% 34.0% 30.5% 1.4% 1.8%
May 35.7% 33.8% 30.5% 1.9%
Apr 35.1% 33.1% 31.8% 2.0%
Mar 36.4% 33.4% 30.2% 3.0% 3.3%
Feb 36.0% 32.4% 31.6% 3.6%
Jan 35.9% 32.5% 31.6% 3.4%

First Debate: Obama’s “emperor has no clothes” moment

Joe Scarborough and the gang from “Morning Joe” discussed the debate.

“More than polls, because polls do move around; I’m interested in the people that come up to me in the street and my Democratic friends and what they’re saying to me. And I won’t say that there is a sense of panic, but there has been a real emperor has no clothes moment over the past week and it keeps growing by the day. That’s why I’m bringing this up. I know that everyone that’s watching is hearing this in their own hometowns as well, it’s stunning now,” Joe Scarborough said on the Monday broadcast of his MSNBC show “Morning Joe.”

What the debate did – Right Turn – The Washington Post

What the debate did – Right Turn – The Washington Post.

Jennifer Rubin argues that 8 indicators from the Romney/Obama debate last week show that perhaps Romney should be considered a favorite at this point.  Looking through her list, the one that stands out to me the most is the “inevitability” point:

The polls have moved substantially, thereby blowing up the notion that Obama had this in the bag. Gallup tells us: “Registered voters’ preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday’s presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.”



Anatomy of a Disastrous Debate Performance

Works and Days » Anatomy of a Disastrous Debate Performance.

Obama’s real preferences are instead for brief puff appearances on favorable, celebrity TV and radio showsthat tend to enfeeble rather than sharpen his own analysis. And even those are rare, given his propensity to offer gaffes (in this regard, the “you didn’t build that” and “the private sector is doing fine” sort are as frequent as or more common than the far more notorious fare from Joe Biden). In such an attenuated career, we forget that Obama’s prior debate appearances have been rare, and against undistinguished debaters in group fashion during the Democratic primary and John McCain, and, in fact, were themselves largely just workmanlike and just enough to get by. His real and only political interests (and skills) are in caricaturing opponents, in a sort of trash-talking sports fashion (“you’re likeable enough, Hilary,” “fat-cat banker,” “corporate jet owner,” the limb-lopping, tonsil-pulling physicians, etc.) or in whipping up a crowd (“get in their faces,” “gun to a knife fight,” “punish our enemies,” etc.)

Yet perhaps the reason for Obama’s reluctance to face questions and counter-argument was not just that Obama is not very good at it and resents doing his homework (“a drag”), and not just that his economic and foreign policy records are dismal and would be hard to defend under scrutiny, but largely that he has had scant need to work on debating or sharpening his analytical skills — given the investment of the media and popular culture in his success.