Real Clear Politics’s Sean Trende analyzes why the hand-wringing by many conservative insiders may be short-sighted. According to his analysis beyond the Senate and White House losses this cycle, there are many rays of hope for the future of the Republican Party.
The simple truth is that this election turned out pretty much the way that the econometric models suggested it should. The GOP had deluded itself into believing that 2012 was a “gimme” — and to be sure, it was winnable. Team Romney made some mistakes and failed to capitalize on opportunities. But overall, the result wasn’t out of line with what we’d expect from a tepid economy (this also cuts against the “demographics” argument; if demographics were becoming the GOP’s main problem, the GOP would increasingly run behind what the economy suggested it “should”).