York: GOP hopes soar as Romney rolls in Ohio | Washington Examiner

http://m.washingtonexaminer.com/gop-hopes-soar-as-romney-rolls-in-ohio/article/2510719 Romney continues to push momentum in Ohio.

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Byron York (@ByronYork) tweeted at 6:02 PM on Sun, Oct 14, 2012:
GOP politicos see heightened momentum in variety of factors: rally turnout; grassroots contacts; absentee ballots; staffers, volunteers…

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11,000 Rally for Mitt Romney in Lebanon, Ohio




GOP Ticket Focuses on Crucial Ohio Votes

This article from the New York times provides a brief analysis of the refocus that the Romney campaign has affixed on Ohio.


See if you can’t pick up the two injections of bias in the article. In case you missed it, I thought there were two obnoxious parts that show why so many people (60% estimated by Gallup) have distrust of mass media. First:

“You know,we come from similar areas,” Mr. Ryan said. “Please know we want to get these manufacturing jobs back here. We want to make sure that this is a country and society where we are the envy of the world, where we’re No. 1 in manufacturing again, not second to China like we are right now.” (Although it is true there are fewer manufacturing jobs since the president took office,more than 500,000 have been added since February 2010,according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics,a reversal of decades of slow decline.)

The second is here:

Mr. Ryan then told the student that one of his best friends was from Akron,noting that Goodyear had a plant there,and adding that he had visited several times. “It’s a great town,” he said,”and it reminds me so much of where I come from. It really does.” Afterward,Mr. Ryan stopped with his wife and children at a nearby soup kitchen. The family put on aprons and washed several large pans,though they did not appear to need washing,according to a pool reporter. There also was no one to serve at the soup kitchen,as breakfast had ended.

The second is particularly frustrating. Why even report that information unless you’re purposefully trying to bend the reader’s perception of the story? It feels as though the authors were trying to make the otherwise humble, charitable gesture into a campaign ploy.

Romney continues to draw huge crowds in Ohio


“Huge crowd for Romney shocks officials in Ohio town” — Sidney, Ohio


Mitt Romney Intensifies Ohio Campaign

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/09/us/politics/with-new-vigor-mitt-romney-intensifies-ohio-campaign.html?partner=rss&emc=rss No wonder he was trailing in Ohio:

Several Republican officials, asked why Mr. Romney has been lagging well behind Mr. Obama, responded it was not because Mr. Romney was not selling here, but rather that his campaign had not been selling him well. The president’s campaign has overwhelmed Mr. Romney until now in television advertising. In Youngstown, Mr. Romney and his allied groups ran virtually no advertisements through much of September, as Mr. Obama and his Democratic allies showed their ads more than 1,100 times, according to data compiled by the media monitoring firm Kantar Media/CMAG. Mr. Romney has now increased his advertising in smaller markets across the state, including Youngstown, Zanesville and Lima. He is scheduled to travel the state on Tuesday and Wednesday with Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey at his side, hoping to keep enthusiasm high among Republicans who have been showing up in greater numbers at volunteer centers across the state this week.

Ohio’s dramatic shift in absentee ballot requests favor Romney

In looking through a few posts online about the status of Romney’s campaign in Ohio, I came across the usual tid-bits about his post-debate

poll bounce.  I also encountered an encouraging bit of information posted by Guy Bensen (Townhall.com) and Ace of Spades HQ.  Check out this breakdown of the absentee ballot requests.  (Here’s a hint: it looks nothing like 2008.)

The Republicans have shrunk the gap nine percent overall since 2008, but the numbers are even more dramatic in Ohio’s key counties:

Champaign County: Was +3% GOP, now +23% GOP – 20-point shift
Columbiana County: Was +9% DEM, now +9% GOP – 18-point shift
Crawford County: Was +3% DEM, now +12% GOP – 15-point shift
Cuyahoga County: Was +36% DEM, now +30% DEM – 6-point shift
Erie County: Was +24% DEM, now +7% DEM – 17-point shift
Franklin County: Was +5% DEM, now +5% GOP – 10-point shift
Greene County: Was +4% DEM, now +19% GOP – 23-point shift
Harrison County: Was +22% DEM, now +5% DEM – 17-point shift
Hamilton County: Was +7% GOP, now +13% GOP – 6-point shift
Licking County: Was TIED, now +16% GOP – 16-point shift
Montgomery County: Was +29% DEM, now +5% DEM – 24-point shift
Muskingum County: Was +1% DEM, now +16% GOP – 17-point shift
Pickaway County: Was +12% DEM, now +15% GOP – 27-point shift
Seneca County: Was +1% DEM, now +13% GOP – 14-point shift
Summit County: Was +33% DEM, now +6 DEM – 27-point shift
Wood County: Was +10% DEM, now +1% GOP – 11-point shift

The five largest counties in the Buckeye State have all shifted toward the GOP by at least six percent (and as much as 27 percent) since 2008. While the polls show Obama ahead in Ohio, these ballot request numbers suggest that Mitt Romney is in a much better position there today than John McCain was four years ago.

 If you are really nerdy and want to look at the numbers in more detail, check out this link.